Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.057291 0.067311 0.078503 0.091925 0.107576 0.125244 0.146699
2025-07-27 0.042248 0.055382 0.071660 0.093282 0.121224 0.156089 0.202880
2025-08-03 0.033573 0.047911 0.067166 0.094842 0.133536 0.185646 0.261104
2025-08-10 0.028279 0.043288 0.064823 0.097848 0.147093 0.217669 0.326383
2025-08-17 0.022860 0.037219 0.059052 0.094485 0.150372 0.234920 0.372324
2025-08-24 0.019450 0.033458 0.055885 0.094163 0.157617 0.258312 0.429874
2025-08-31 0.016592 0.030021 0.052564 0.092855 0.162752 0.278602 0.484646
2025-09-07 0.014838 0.028123 0.051414 0.094833 0.173345 0.308734 0.559116
2025-09-14 0.012952 0.025653 0.048856 0.093872 0.178519 0.330036 0.620725
2025-09-21 0.011196 0.023127 0.045791 0.091463 0.180593 0.345870 0.674158
2025-09-28 0.009670 0.020793 0.042730 0.088564 0.181228 0.358926 0.723709
2025-10-05 0.008904 0.019877 0.042283 0.090695 0.191828 0.391881 0.815242
2025-10-12 0.008060 0.018684 0.041151 0.091364 0.199765 0.420973 0.903583
2025-10-19 0.007316 0.017596 0.040090 0.092041 0.207835 0.451366 0.998582
2025-10-26 0.006720 0.016745 0.039411 0.093439 0.217605 0.486389 1.107618
2025-11-02 0.006299 0.016236 0.039421 0.096372 0.231126 0.530947 1.242719
2025-11-09 0.005519 0.014725 0.036897 0.093052 0.229903 0.542964 1.306558
2025-11-16 0.005015 0.013828 0.035703 0.092733 0.235659 0.571311 1.411198
2025-11-23 0.004518 0.012864 0.034205 0.091445 0.238875 0.594104 1.505430
2025-11-30 0.004237 0.012436 0.033998 0.093394 0.250367 0.637814 1.655342
2025-12-07 0.003850 0.011651 0.032748 0.092447 0.254339 0.663670 1.764116
2025-12-14 0.003445 0.010748 0.031057 0.090074 0.254256 0.679394 1.849072
2025-12-21 0.003067 0.009862 0.029282 0.087217 0.252490 0.690597 1.923630